Sven Eric tells me that Hans Rosling says
"We can stop HIV if only we had a test that could tell us when the patient contracted the virus"
http://lindau.nature.com/lindau/2011/07/panel-discussion-global-health-lindau-nobel-laureate-meeting-2011
If I had a good time-evolving model, showing the distribution of types at each year, I could estimate the probability of the year the person became infected.
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